Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.111263 3.283924 3.466968 3.676504 3.911044 4.167056 4.469829
2025-09-14 2.797557 3.022093 3.271093 3.570881 3.926515 4.340993 4.870179
2025-09-21 2.564335 2.817015 3.106679 3.469193 3.919768 4.474830 5.234182
2025-09-28 2.444197 2.726827 3.061042 3.495273 4.060934 4.799823 5.892406
2025-10-05 2.420645 2.745836 3.143671 3.682978 4.425660 5.469563 7.184253
2025-10-12 2.333294 2.677302 3.108293 3.710757 4.575861 5.864836 8.183208
2025-10-19 2.253703 2.611317 3.068612 3.725367 4.705057 6.248281 9.295947
2025-10-26 2.217941 2.597885 3.095036 3.831628 4.981498 6.923840 11.285956
2025-11-02 2.152666 2.540617 3.056559 3.838413 5.101080 7.354311 13.011451
2025-11-09 2.047268 2.423902 2.928232 3.699876 4.964608 7.277933 13.406133
2025-11-16 1.960094 2.327886 2.823690 3.589524 4.863411 7.252877 13.955821
2025-11-23 1.907126 2.275900 2.778254 3.565913 4.907467 7.530259 15.665537
2025-11-30 1.823363 2.184825 2.681623 3.470685 4.842813 7.627903 17.163593
2025-12-07 1.745284 2.098880 2.588761 3.375973 4.771266 7.705809 18.828245
2025-12-14 1.673833 2.019402 2.501547 3.284441 4.696265 7.765384 20.659416
2025-12-21 1.639113 1.989802 2.485856 3.308058 4.843309 8.420673 27.721686
2025-12-28 1.643467 2.015392 2.553550 3.477053 5.310193 10.185349 63.389337
2026-01-04 1.612317 1.988104 2.538657 3.502022 5.483769 11.217255 162.505544
2026-01-11 1.580764 1.958647 2.518397 3.515149 5.634280 12.297351 NaN
2026-01-18 1.568894 1.957418 2.542120 3.610357 5.997745 14.614461 NaN
2026-01-25 1.539423 1.928511 2.519608 3.616434 6.145504 16.182796 NaN
2026-02-01 1.486006 1.861734 2.432636 3.492297 5.937125 15.658342 NaN
2026-02-08 1.440179 1.805209 2.360490 3.393109 5.784775 15.412299 NaN